Putting Up Numbers· college football

Iowa State @ BYU

Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · Unranked at No. 8

BYU 24, Iowa State 10BYU was favored by 11, and BYU covered.

Iowa State at BYU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameIowa State1 gameBYU1 game
Points−11.1−7.0
Points allowed−7.3−15.9
Total offense, yards−138+102
Total defense, yards+122−161
Touchdowns−1.5−0.9
Passer rating−34.5+45.8
Third downs−24.2%−0.1%
Sacks−1.2+1.1
Penalty yards−26.4+10.3
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

BYU

Iowa State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

BYU

  • BYU had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • BYU had beaten 15 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
  • BYU had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • BYU had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
  • BYU had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • BYU was 3.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 48th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.0 against the line this game.

Iowa State

  • Iowa State had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Iowa State was 5.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 33rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Iowa State leads the series 5–2 since 1968. BYU has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • BYU was 4–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At night, BYU’s passing yards were 144.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 118.1 over expected.
  • At home, BYU’s carries were 8.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 under expected.
  • In a conference game, BYU’s third-down conversion rate were 12.6% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4% under expected.
  • Iowa State had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Iowa State’s pass attempts were 8.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Iowa State’s pass attempts were 5.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Iowa State’s points allowed were 8.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.5 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 9, 2026at BYUBYU 24, Iowa State 10
Oct 25, 2025at Iowa StateBYU 41, Iowa State 27
Nov 11, 2023at BYUIowa State 45, BYU 13
Sep 28, 1974at Iowa StateIowa State 34, BYU 7
Oct 13, 1973at BYUIowa State 26, BYU 24
Sep 27, 1969at Iowa StateIowa State 10, BYU 0
Sep 28, 1968at BYUIowa State 28, BYU 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 8, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.