Putting Up Numbers· college football

Iowa @ Washington

Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · No. 20 at unranked

Iowa 41, Washington 24Washington was favored by 3, and Iowa covered.

Iowa at Washington: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameIowa1 gameWashington1 game
Points+21.0+4.5
Points allowed−3.1+18.5
Total offense, yards+132−21
Total defense, yards−66+118
Touchdowns+2.8+0.7
Passer rating+88.2+6.0
Third downs−2.3%+1.7%
Sacks+3.5−1.6
Penalty yards+15.4−6.5
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.4−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Washington

Iowa

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Washington

  • Washington was 11.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 134th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.0 against the line this game.

Iowa

  • Iowa had covered 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Iowa had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • Iowa was 3.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 43rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Iowa leads the series 5–3 since 1937. Iowa has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Washington had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Washington was 0–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Washington’s third-down conversion rate were 27.8% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.9% over expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Washington’s third-down conversion rate were 30.8% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.9% over expected.
  • At night, Washington’s rushing yards were 93.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 104.0 under expected.
  • Iowa had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Iowa had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Iowa’s carries were 11.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 over expected.
  • At night, Iowa’s total yards were 139.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 131.6 over expected.
  • On the road, Iowa’s carries were 9.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 9, 2026at WashingtonIowa 41, Washington 24
Oct 12, 2024at IowaIowa 40, Washington 16
Dec 29, 1995neutralIowa 38, Washington 18
Jan 1, 1991neutralWashington 46, Iowa 34
Jan 1, 1982neutralWashington 28, Iowa 0
Oct 3, 1964at IowaIowa 28, Washington 18
Oct 5, 1963at WashingtonIowa 17, Washington 7
Sep 25, 1937at WashingtonWashington 14, Iowa 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 8, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.