Putting Up Numbers· college football

Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State

Wed, Oct 7, 2026

Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26Jacksonville State was favored by 3, and Kennesaw State covered.

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJacksonville State1 gameKennesaw State1 game
Points+2.4+1.0
Points allowed+1.6+4.1
Total offense, yards−1+56
Total defense, yards+50+21
Touchdowns+0.2+0.3
Passer rating−12.6+10.7
Third downs+10.0%+1.2%
Sacks−0.6−0.4
Penalty yards+35.5+80.5
Turnovers forced+0.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kennesaw State

Jacksonville State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kennesaw State

  • Kennesaw State had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Kennesaw State was 2.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 55th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.

Jacksonville State

  • Jacksonville State was 0.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 66th of 136, and 12.5 worse away than at home over its last 25, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Kennesaw State had covered 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Kennesaw State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 45.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 79.6 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kennesaw State’s points were 11.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.8 over expected.
  • On the road, Jacksonville State’s third-down conversion rate were 20.0% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.3% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Jacksonville State’s rushing yards were 81.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 129.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 7, 2026at Kennesaw StateJacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26
Dec 5, 2025at Jacksonville StateKennesaw State 19, Jacksonville State 15
Nov 15, 2025at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State 35, Kennesaw State 26
Oct 4, 2024at Kennesaw StateJacksonville State 63, Kennesaw State 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 6, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.