Putting Up Numbers· college football

Vanderbilt @ Georgia

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · Unranked at No. 2

Georgia 38, Vanderbilt 14Georgia was favored by 25.5, and Vanderbilt covered.

Vanderbilt at Georgia: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVanderbilt1 gameGeorgia1 game
Points−3.7+6.0
Points allowed+1.7−7.0
Total offense, yards−22+78
Total defense, yards+44−40
Touchdowns−0.3+1.4
Passer rating+4.1+47.8
Third downs+5.1%+27.9%
Sacks−0.6−0.3
Penalty yards+3.0−14.2
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.4−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Georgia

Vanderbilt

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia

  • Georgia had beaten 52 straight unranked teams, tied for the 6th-longest since 1936.streakthe runs →Extended to 53.
  • Georgia had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Georgia had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
  • Georgia had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Georgia had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Georgia had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Georgia was 10.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 14th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

Vanderbilt

  • Vanderbilt had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Vanderbilt was 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 136, and 12.6 better away than at home over its last 25, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Georgia leads the series 61–17–2 since 1903. Georgia has won the last 7.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Georgia was 4–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Georgia’s points were 13.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.6 under expected.
  • At home, Georgia’s carries were 6.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.4 under expected.
  • Vanderbilt had covered 9 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Vanderbilt had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Vanderbilt had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Vanderbilt’s carries were 8.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at GeorgiaGeorgia 38, Vanderbilt 14
Oct 14, 2023at VanderbiltGeorgia 37, Vanderbilt 20
Oct 15, 2022at GeorgiaGeorgia 55, Vanderbilt 0
Sep 25, 2021at VanderbiltGeorgia 62, Vanderbilt 0
Aug 31, 2019at VanderbiltGeorgia 30, Vanderbilt 6
Oct 6, 2018at GeorgiaGeorgia 41, Vanderbilt 13
Oct 7, 2017at VanderbiltGeorgia 45, Vanderbilt 14
Oct 15, 2016at GeorgiaVanderbilt 17, Georgia 16
Sep 12, 2015at VanderbiltGeorgia 31, Vanderbilt 14
Oct 4, 2014at GeorgiaGeorgia 44, Vanderbilt 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.