Texas Tech @ Colorado

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · No. 12 at unranked

Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7Texas Tech was favored by 13.5, and Texas Tech covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colorado was 8.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 122nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.

Texas Tech had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
Texas Tech had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Texas Tech had won 11 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Texas Tech was 10.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 128th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.

Colorado had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Colorado had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, Colorado’s pass attempts were 8.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.3 over expected.
Texas Tech had won 8 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Texas Tech had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Texas Tech had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Texas Tech was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
On the road, Texas Tech’s carries were 11.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 under expected.
In a conference game, Texas Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 23.3% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.1% under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Texas Tech’s rushing yards were 45.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.0 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.