Putting Up Numbers· college football

Old Dominion @ Georgia State

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Georgia State 42, Old Dominion 10Georgia State was favored by 2, and Georgia State covered.

Old Dominion at Georgia State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOld Dominion1 gameGeorgia State1 game
Points−17.3+12.2
Points allowed+11.2−6.6
Total offense, yards−242+96
Total defense, yards+52−145
Touchdowns−3.5+3.1
Passer rating−67.3+112.0
Third downs−4.9%+13.4%
Sacks−1.7+3.4
Penalty yards−10.2+14.8
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Georgia State

Old Dominion

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia State

  • Georgia State had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Georgia State was 14.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+30.0 against the line this game.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Old Dominion was 12.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 134th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−30.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Georgia State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Georgia State’s total yards were 150.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 98.1 over expected.
  • Old Dominion had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Old Dominion’s rushing yards were 144.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 71.8 under expected.
  • On the road, Old Dominion’s pass attempts were 8.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at Georgia StateGeorgia State 42, Old Dominion 10
Nov 29, 2025at Old DominionOld Dominion 27, Georgia State 10
Oct 12, 2024at Georgia StateOld Dominion 21, Georgia State 14
Nov 25, 2023at Old DominionOld Dominion 25, Georgia State 24
Oct 29, 2022at Georgia StateGeorgia State 31, Old Dominion 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.