Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio @ Kent State

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Ohio 13, Kent State 10Ohio was favored by 3.5, and Kent State covered.

Ohio at Kent State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOhio1 gameKent State1 game
Points−16.8−18.2
Points allowed−9.5−13.1
Total offense, yards−137−140
Total defense, yards−58−102
Touchdowns−2.6−2.6
Passer rating−45.5−45.8
Third downs−0.5%−11.6%
Sacks+1.3−0.3
Penalty yards+12.0+5.5
Turnovers forced+0.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kent State

Ohio

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kent State

  • Kent State was 1.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 80th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

Ohio

  • Ohio had won 15 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Ohio was 1.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 81st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Ohio leads the series 39–22–2 since 1962. Ohio has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Kent State’s penalty yards were 58.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Kent State’s penalty yards were 58.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kent State’s penalty yards were 15.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8 over expected.
  • Ohio had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Ohio’s points allowed were 12.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at Kent StateOhio 13, Kent State 10
Nov 6, 2024at Kent StateOhio 41, Kent State 0
Oct 7, 2023at OhioOhio 42, Kent State 17
Oct 1, 2022at Kent StateKent State 31, Ohio 24
Oct 23, 2021at OhioKent State 34, Ohio 27
Oct 19, 2019at OhioOhio 45, Kent State 38
Oct 6, 2018at Kent StateOhio 27, Kent State 26
Oct 21, 2017at OhioOhio 48, Kent State 3
Oct 22, 2016at Kent StateOhio 14, Kent State 10
Nov 10, 2015at OhioOhio 27, Kent State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.