Memphis @ Charlotte

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Memphis 59, Charlotte 8Memphis was favored by 19.5, and Memphis covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Charlotte had lost 13 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
Charlotte had covered 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Charlotte was 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 136, and 12.4 worse at home than away over its last 25, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−31.5 against the line this game.

Memphis was 0.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 74th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+31.5 against the line this game.

Memphis leads the series 3–0 since 2023. Memphis has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

At home, Charlotte’s total yards were 202.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 150.4 under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Charlotte’s carries were 12.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.2 under expected.
On the road, Memphis’ third-down conversion rate were 18.6% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.9% over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.