Maryland @ Nebraska

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Nebraska 48, Maryland 23Nebraska was favored by 15, and Nebraska covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Nebraska had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Nebraska had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Nebraska had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Nebraska was 8.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 21st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.

Maryland was 6.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 112th of 136, and 8.1 better away than at home over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.

Nebraska leads the series 4–1 since 2016. Nebraska has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

Nebraska had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Nebraska was 3–0–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, Nebraska’s points were 18.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.8 over expected.
In a conference game, Nebraska’s points allowed were 9.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 over expected.
Maryland had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Maryland had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, Maryland’s points of margin were 40.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.2 under expected.
On the road, Maryland’s points of margin were 37.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.2 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.