Marshall @ James Madison

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

James Madison 45, Marshall 17James Madison was favored by 16, and James Madison covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

James Madison had beaten 15 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
James Madison had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
James Madison had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
James Madison had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
James Madison had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
James Madison was 18.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.

Marshall was 13.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.

James Madison leads the series 3–2 since 2022. James Madison has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, James Madison’s pass attempts were 13.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
At home, James Madison’s pass attempts were 13.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Marshall’s pass attempts were 5.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.9 over expected.
On the road, Marshall’s points were 5.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.