Indiana @ Rutgers

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · No. 6 at unranked

Indiana 47, Rutgers 15Indiana was favored by 24.5, and Indiana covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Rutgers was 6.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 112th of 136, and 7.3 worse at home than away over its last 25, 127th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Indiana had beaten 25 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 26.
Indiana had won 20 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 21.
Indiana had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Indiana had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
Indiana had beaten 6 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Indiana had won 19 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Indiana was 6.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 115th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

Rutgers had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
At home, Rutgers’ pass attempts were 11.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.3 under expected.
Against a ranked opponent, Rutgers’ third-down conversion rate were 17.3% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.5% under expected.
Indiana had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Indiana was 0–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
In a conference game, Indiana’s rushing yards were 115.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 160.1 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.