Putting Up Numbers· college football

Eastern Michigan @ UMass

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Eastern Michigan 38, UMass 14UMass was favored by 5.5, and Eastern Michigan covered.

Eastern Michigan at UMass: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEastern Michigan1 gameUMass1 game
Points+16.8−17.2
Points allowed−14.2+20.8
Total offense, yards+65−111
Total defense, yards−39+106
Touchdowns+2.4−1.7
Passer rating+25.3−6.7
Third downs+43.2%+17.6%
Sacks−2.0−2.4
Penalty yards+13.2+0.1
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UMass

Eastern Michigan

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

UMass

  • UMass had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • UMass had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • UMass had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • UMass was 15.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 136, and 9.5 worse at home than away over its last 25, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−29.5 against the line this game.

Eastern Michigan

  • Eastern Michigan was 6.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 117th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+29.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Eastern Michigan leads the series 5–2 since 2014. Eastern Michigan has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • On the road, Eastern Michigan’s pass attempts were 6.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at UMassEastern Michigan 38, UMass 14
Aug 31, 2024at UMassEastern Michigan 28, UMass 14
Sep 16, 2023at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan 19, UMass 17
Oct 1, 2022at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan 20, UMass 13
Sep 18, 2021at UMassEastern Michigan 42, UMass 28
Nov 14, 2015at Eastern MichiganUMass 28, Eastern Michigan 17
Oct 18, 2014at UMassUMass 36, Eastern Michigan 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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