Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan

Wed, Nov 18 · Waldo Stadium

No line yet.

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Eastern Michigan10 games	Western Michigan9 games
	−7.9	−3.6
	+7.2	−3.9
	−64	−56
	+68	−3
	−0.9	−0.5
	−23.2	−5.8
	−1.7%	+0.7%
	−1.0	+1.0
	−14.2	−14.8
	+0.1	0.0
	+0.2	−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Western Michigan

Western Michigan is 1.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 52nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan is 3.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 109th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Western Michigan leads the series 33–17–1 since 1974. Western Michigan has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Western Michigan has won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Western Michigan has beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
Western Michigan has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Without Aveion Chenault, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 20.2% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Lolo Mataele’s last game, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 13.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, Western Michigan’s carries are 3.7 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Since Noah Kim’s last game, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 30.4% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Amareon Blue’s last game, Eastern Michigan’s points are 17.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Nick Devereaux, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 15.6% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Nov 25, 2025	at Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 21
Nov 30, 2024	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 26, Eastern Michigan 18
Oct 28, 2023	at Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan 45, Eastern Michigan 21
Oct 8, 2022	at Western Michigan	Eastern Michigan 45, Western Michigan 23
Nov 16, 2021	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 22, Western Michigan 21
Dec 5, 2020	at Western Michigan	Eastern Michigan 53, Western Michigan 42
Oct 19, 2019	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 34, Western Michigan 27
Oct 6, 2018	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 27, Eastern Michigan 24
Oct 21, 2017	at Eastern Michigan	Western Michigan 20, Eastern Michigan 17
Oct 22, 2016	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 45, Eastern Michigan 31

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.