Cincinnati @ 
Arizona
Arizona 34, Cincinnati 7Arizona was favored by 6.5, and Arizona covered.
| a game | Cincinnati1 game | Arizona1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −14.5 | +2.4 |
| Points allowed | +1.8 | −22.8 |
| Total offense, yards | −136 | +80 |
| Total defense, yards | +94 | −197 |
| Touchdowns | −1.6 | +0.6 |
| Passer rating | −29.5 | +1.3 |
| Third downs | +5.7% | +22.1% |
| Sacks | +0.6 | +0.8 |
| Penalty yards | −10.1 | +15.7 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
Arizona
- Passing yardsNoah Fifita284 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsNoah Fifita2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAntwan Roberts Jr.87 rushing yards
Cincinnati
Analysis
Arizona
- Arizona had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Arizona had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Arizona was 5.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 105th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.
Cincinnati
- Cincinnati had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Cincinnati had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Cincinnati had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Cincinnati was 7.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 29th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Arizona leads the series 2–0 since 2025. Arizona has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Arizona had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Arizona had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- At home, Arizona’s third-down conversion rate were 31.9% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.1% over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Arizona’s third-down conversion rate were 17.5% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.1% over expected.
- In a conference game, Arizona’s pass attempts were 5.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 over expected.
- At night, Cincinnati’s pass attempts were 10.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 over expected.
- In a conference game, Cincinnati’s pass attempts were 10.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at Arizona | Arizona 34, Cincinnati 7 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at Cincinnati | Arizona 30, Cincinnati 24 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.