Putting Up Numbers· college football

BYU @ TCU

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · No. 10 at unranked

BYU 17, TCU 10BYU was favored by 6, and BYU covered.

BYU at TCU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBYU1 gameTCU1 game
Points+0.2−15.7
Points allowed−16.0−10.7
Total offense, yards−106−101
Total defense, yards−147−164
Touchdowns+0.1−2.0
Passer rating−59.4+8.4
Third downs+14.5%−9.7%
Sacks+1.7−0.3
Penalty yards−13.5−23.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

TCU

BYU

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

TCU

  • TCU was 1.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.0 against the line this game.

BYU

  • BYU had beaten 14 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 15.
  • BYU had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • BYU had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • BYU had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • BYU had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • BYU was 3.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • TCU had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • TCU had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, TCU’s penalty yards were 26.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.7 under expected.
  • In a conference game, TCU’s pass attempts were 8.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.8 under expected.
  • BYU had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • BYU had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, BYU’s rushing yards were 123.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.6 over expected.
  • In a conference game, BYU’s carries were 8.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at TCUBYU 17, TCU 10
Nov 15, 2025at BYUBYU 44, TCU 13
Oct 14, 2023at TCUTCU 44, BYU 11
Oct 28, 2011at TCUTCU 38, BYU 28
Oct 16, 2010at TCUTCU 31, BYU 3
Oct 24, 2009at BYUTCU 38, BYU 7
Oct 16, 2008at TCUTCU 32, BYU 7
Nov 8, 2007at BYUBYU 27, TCU 22
Sep 28, 2006at TCUBYU 31, TCU 17
Sep 24, 2005at BYUTCU 51, BYU 50

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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