Putting Up Numbers· college football

Army @ Louisiana Tech

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Louisiana Tech 31, Army 29The line was a pick ’em, and Louisiana Tech covered.

Army at Louisiana Tech: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArmy1 gameLouisiana Tech1 game
Points+8.1+2.0
Points allowed+0.1+1.5
Total offense, yards+72+90
Total defense, yards+126+47
Touchdowns+1.3+0.2
Passer rating−23.6+28.1
Third downs+12.0%−6.1%
Sacks−2.5−0.3
Penalty yards+4.4+25.6
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.3
Turnovers lost−0.4−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Louisiana Tech

Army

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Louisiana Tech

  • Louisiana Tech was 12.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 10th of 136, and 12.3 better at home than away over its last 25, 7th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.

Army

  • Army was 4.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 41st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Louisiana Tech had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Louisiana Tech had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Louisiana Tech’s pass attempts were 12.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.1 under expected.
  • At night, Louisiana Tech’s total yards were 144.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 93.1 over expected.
  • Army had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Army’s passing yards were 129.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.4 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech 31, Army 29
Dec 28, 2024neutralArmy 27, Louisiana Tech 6
Sep 28, 2013neutralArmy 35, Louisiana Tech 16
Oct 25, 2008at ArmyArmy 14, Louisiana Tech 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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