Putting Up Numbers· college football

Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech

Fri, Oct 2, 2026

Pittsburgh 35, Virginia Tech 33Virginia Tech was favored by 1.5, and Pittsburgh covered.

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePittsburgh1 gameVirginia Tech1 game
Points+14.9+8.6
Points allowed+0.6+9.2
Total offense, yards−51+141
Total defense, yards+93−111
Touchdowns+2.5+0.9
Passer rating+0.7+37.8
Third downs−6.1%−1.9%
Sacks−0.7−0.7
Penalty yards−1.4+25.7
Turnovers forced+2.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.1+2.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Virginia Tech

Pittsburgh

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Virginia Tech

  • Virginia Tech had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Virginia Tech had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Virginia Tech was 5.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 38th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.

Pittsburgh

  • Pittsburgh had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Pittsburgh had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Pittsburgh had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Pittsburgh had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Pittsburgh had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Pittsburgh was 8.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 21st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Virginia Tech was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At night, Virginia Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 26.9% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3% under expected.
  • In a conference game, Virginia Tech’s rushing yards were 122.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.8 under expected.
  • At home, Virginia Tech’s penalty yards were 29.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 32.0 over expected.
  • At night, Pittsburgh’s passing yards were 122.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 57.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 2, 2026at Virginia TechPittsburgh 35, Virginia Tech 33
Sep 30, 2023at Virginia TechVirginia Tech 38, Pittsburgh 21
Oct 8, 2022at PittsburghPittsburgh 45, Virginia Tech 29
Oct 16, 2021at Virginia TechPittsburgh 28, Virginia Tech 7
Nov 21, 2020at PittsburghPittsburgh 47, Virginia Tech 14
Nov 23, 2019at Virginia TechVirginia Tech 28, Pittsburgh 0
Nov 10, 2018at PittsburghPittsburgh 52, Virginia Tech 22
Nov 18, 2017at Virginia TechVirginia Tech 20, Pittsburgh 14
Oct 27, 2016at PittsburghVirginia Tech 39, Pittsburgh 36
Oct 3, 2015at Virginia TechPittsburgh 17, Virginia Tech 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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