Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty @ Delaware

Fri, Oct 2, 2026

Liberty 30, Delaware 14Liberty was favored by 7, and Liberty covered.

Liberty at Delaware: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLiberty1 gameDelaware1 game
Points+4.0−7.2
Points allowed−15.9+2.5
Total offense, yards+43+36
Total defense, yards−39+65
Touchdowns−0.3−0.2
Passer rating−36.5−5.7
Third downs−0.5%−20.8%
Sacks−1.5+0.3
Penalty yards+49.6−11.2
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Delaware

Liberty

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Delaware

  • Delaware had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Delaware had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Delaware was 0.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 76th of 136, and 11.9 better at home than away over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−9.0 against the line this game.

Liberty

  • Liberty was 1.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 62nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+9.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Liberty leads the series 2–0 since 2025. Liberty has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At night, Delaware’s passing yards were 171.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 37.4 over expected.
  • At home, Delaware’s points allowed were 16.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.2 under expected.
  • Liberty had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At night, Liberty’s penalty yards were 28.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.6 over expected.
  • On the road, Liberty’s penalty yards were 22.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 2, 2026at DelawareLiberty 30, Delaware 14
Nov 1, 2025at LibertyLiberty 59, Delaware 30

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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