Wisconsin @ 
Penn State
Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20Penn State was favored by 9.5, and Wisconsin covered.
| a game | Wisconsin1 game | Penn State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +4.3 | −3.5 |
| Points allowed | −9.3 | +3.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +45 | −111 |
| Total defense, yards | −174 | +47 |
| Touchdowns | +0.8 | −1.6 |
| Passer rating | −18.9 | −66.8 |
| Third downs | −7.5% | −2.2% |
| Sacks | +0.3 | −0.9 |
| Penalty yards | −2.4 | −37.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.7 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Penn State
- Passing yardsRocco Becht114 passing yards
- Rushing yardsJames Peoples67 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsRocco Becht1 rushing touchdown
Wisconsin
Analysis
Penn State
- Penn State had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Penn State had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Penn State had won 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Penn State had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Penn State was 6.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 34th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−13.5 against the line this game.
Wisconsin
- Wisconsin had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Wisconsin was 1.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 88th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+13.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Penn State leads the series 12–10 since 1953.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Penn State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Penn State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At home, Penn State’s points were 19.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Wisconsin’s points allowed were 15.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Penn State | Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | at Wisconsin | Penn State 28, Wisconsin 13 |
| Sep 4, 2021 | at Wisconsin | Penn State 16, Wisconsin 10 |
| Nov 10, 2018 | at Penn State | Penn State 22, Wisconsin 10 |
| Dec 3, 2016 | neutral | Penn State 38, Wisconsin 31 |
| Nov 30, 2013 | at Wisconsin | Penn State 31, Wisconsin 24 |
| Nov 24, 2012 | at Penn State | Penn State 24, Wisconsin 21 |
| Nov 26, 2011 | at Wisconsin | Wisconsin 45, Penn State 7 |
| Oct 11, 2008 | at Wisconsin | Penn State 48, Wisconsin 7 |
| Oct 13, 2007 | at Penn State | Penn State 38, Wisconsin 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.