Putting Up Numbers· college football

Vanderbilt @ Auburn

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Auburn 21, Vanderbilt 15Auburn was favored by 10, and Vanderbilt covered.

Vanderbilt at Auburn: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameVanderbilt1 gameAuburn1 game
Points−11.9−12.6
Points allowed−4.7−6.0
Total offense, yards−81−122
Total defense, yards−94−21
Touchdowns−2.1−1.9
Passer rating−24.5−28.1
Third downs−16.5%+3.1%
Sacks−2.4+1.9
Penalty yards−16.8−10.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Auburn

Vanderbilt

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Auburn

  • Auburn was 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 94th of 135, and 9.0 worse at home than away over its last 25, 131st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.

Vanderbilt

  • Vanderbilt had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Vanderbilt was 6.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 114th of 135, and 11.8 better away than at home over its last 25, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Auburn had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Auburn’s points allowed were 18.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6 under expected.
  • Vanderbilt had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Vanderbilt had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Vanderbilt had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at AuburnAuburn 21, Vanderbilt 15
Nov 8, 2025at VanderbiltVanderbilt 45, Auburn 38
Nov 2, 2024at AuburnVanderbilt 17, Auburn 7
Nov 4, 2023at VanderbiltAuburn 31, Vanderbilt 15
Nov 5, 2016at AuburnAuburn 23, Vanderbilt 16
Oct 20, 2012at VanderbiltVanderbilt 17, Auburn 13
Oct 4, 2008at VanderbiltVanderbilt 14, Auburn 13
Oct 6, 2007at AuburnAuburn 35, Vanderbilt 7
Sep 13, 2003at VanderbiltAuburn 45, Vanderbilt 7
Sep 14, 2002at AuburnAuburn 31, Vanderbilt 6

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.