Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah @ Iowa State

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · No. 15 at unranked

Utah 31, Iowa State 17Utah was favored by 7.5, and Utah covered.

Utah at Iowa State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUtah1 gameIowa State1 game
Points+5.3−5.8
Points allowed−12.5−0.2
Total offense, yards+25−59
Total defense, yards−65−17
Touchdowns+0.7−0.5
Passer rating+16.5−37.5
Third downs−8.9%−17.8%
Sacks−0.8−0.9
Penalty yards+14.1−3.0
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Iowa State

Utah

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Iowa State

  • Iowa State had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Iowa State was 11.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−6.5 against the line this game.

Utah

  • Utah had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • Utah had won 9 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
  • Utah had won 5 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Utah had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Utah had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Utah was 13.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 7th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+6.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Iowa State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Iowa State had won 7 of its last 10 as the underdog.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Iowa State’s rushing yards were 147.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 34.4 under expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Iowa State’s total yards were 75.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at Iowa StateUtah 31, Iowa State 17
Nov 23, 2024at UtahIowa State 31, Utah 28
Oct 9, 2010at Iowa StateUtah 68, Iowa State 27
Oct 9, 1976at Iowa StateIowa State 44, Utah 14
Oct 4, 1975at UtahIowa State 31, Utah 3
Sep 23, 1972at Iowa StateIowa State 44, Utah 22
Oct 3, 1970at UtahIowa State 16, Utah 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.