Putting Up Numbers· college football

UCLA @ Maryland

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

UCLA 54, Maryland 3UCLA was favored by 2.5, and UCLA covered.

UCLA at Maryland: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUCLA1 gameMaryland1 game
Points+27.1−19.2
Points allowed−26.3+28.8
Total offense, yards+95−147
Total defense, yards−209+95
Touchdowns+1.4−2.6
Passer rating+7.7−65.2
Third downs−20.7%−29.0%
Sacks+0.6−0.7
Penalty yards+1.4+4.1
Turnovers forced+3.7+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8+3.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Maryland

UCLA

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Maryland

  • Maryland was 7.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−48.5 against the line this game.

UCLA

  • UCLA had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • UCLA was 7.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 23rd of 135, and 8.6 better away than at home over its last 25, 10th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+48.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • UCLA leads the series 3–1 since 1954. UCLA has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Maryland had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, Maryland’s carries were 8.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.2 under expected.
  • In a conference game, UCLA’s third-down conversion rate were 35.4% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.8% under expected.
  • On the road, UCLA’s carries were 6.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at MarylandUCLA 54, Maryland 3
Oct 18, 2025at UCLAUCLA 20, Maryland 17
Sep 24, 1955at MarylandMaryland 7, UCLA 0
Oct 1, 1954at UCLAUCLA 12, Maryland 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.