Tulsa @ Arkansas

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Arkansas 34, Tulsa 6Arkansas was favored by 7, and Arkansas covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Arkansas had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Arkansas was 15.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 133rd of 135, and 10.4 worse at home than away over its last 25, 133rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+21.0 against the line this game.

Tulsa was 7.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−21.0 against the line this game.

Arkansas leads the series 52–16–2 since 1917. Arkansas has won the last 20.seriesevery meeting →

Arkansas had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
At home, Arkansas’ carries were 15.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6 over expected.
On the road, Tulsa’s penalty yards were 34.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.4 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.