South Alabama @ 
Kentucky
Kentucky 45, South Alabama 21Kentucky was favored by 20.5, and Kentucky covered.
| a game | South Alabama1 game | Kentucky1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −3.7 | +11.8 |
| Points allowed | +15.2 | −7.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +7 | +159 |
| Total defense, yards | +197 | −15 |
| Touchdowns | +0.2 | +1.8 |
| Passer rating | −19.8 | −7.2 |
| Third downs | −16.1% | −17.6% |
| Sacks | −0.1 | +1.4 |
| Penalty yards | −4.1 | −31.8 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.7 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.5 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
Kentucky
- Passing yardsKenny Minchey177 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKenny Minchey1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsCJ Baxter149 rushing yards
South Alabama
Analysis
Kentucky
- Kentucky was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 37th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.
South Alabama
- South Alabama was 5.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Kentucky leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Kentucky had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Kentucky’s third-down conversion rate were 31.3% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.7% under expected.
- On the road, South Alabama’s passing yards were 97.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 70.8 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Kentucky | Kentucky 45, South Alabama 21 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.