Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston @ Texas Tech

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Unranked at No. 11

Texas Tech 49, Sam Houston 14Texas Tech was favored by 34.5, and Texas Tech covered.

Sam Houston at Texas Tech: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSam Houston1 gameTexas Tech1 game
Points−8.6+22.1
Points allowed+17.6−3.6
Total offense, yards−126+98
Total defense, yards+61−51
Touchdowns−0.8+1.6
Passer rating−31.4−10.1
Third downs−6.9%+5.7%
Sacks−2.0−0.9
Penalty yards−1.8−9.0
Turnovers forced+2.8+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.7+2.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Texas Tech

Sam Houston

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Texas Tech

  • Texas Tech had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
  • Texas Tech had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Texas Tech had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Texas Tech was 14.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 131st of 135.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

Sam Houston

  • Sam Houston was 19.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 135.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Texas Tech leads the series 3–0 since 2005. Texas Tech has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Texas Tech had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Texas Tech had won 8 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Texas Tech’s carries were 11.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.3 under expected.
  • At home, Texas Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 23.3% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7% over expected.
  • Sam Houston had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Sam Houston’s pass attempts were 15.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at Texas TechTexas Tech 49, Sam Houston 14
Sep 5, 2015at Texas TechTexas Tech 59, Sam Houston 45
Sep 17, 2005at Texas TechTexas Tech 80, Sam Houston 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.