Ole Miss @ 
Florida
Florida 52, Ole Miss 28Florida was favored by 4, and Florida covered.
| a game | Ole Miss1 game | Florida1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +1.3 | +26.3 |
| Points allowed | +20.8 | −2.2 |
| Total offense, yards | +57 | +111 |
| Total defense, yards | +91 | +31 |
| Touchdowns | −0.2 | +4.2 |
| Passer rating | +13.8 | +20.9 |
| Third downs | −4.5% | +19.6% |
| Sacks | −2.1 | −0.4 |
| Penalty yards | +13.8 | +32.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Florida
- Passing yardsAaron Philo196 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsAaron Philo1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsJadan Baugh142 rushing yards
Ole Miss
Analysis
Florida
- Florida had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Florida had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Florida was 6.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 33rd of 135, and 11.9 better at home than away over its last 25, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.0 against the line this game.
Ole Miss
- Ole Miss had won 14 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Ole Miss had beaten 12 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Ole Miss was 1.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 92nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−20.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Florida leads the series 14–13–1 since 1926. Florida has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Florida had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- In a conference game, Florida’s penalty yards were 82.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.3 over expected.
- At home, Florida’s penalty yards were 29.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.3 over expected.
- Ole Miss had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Ole Miss had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Ole Miss had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Ole Miss’ pass attempts were 17.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Ole Miss’ passing yards were 112.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 50.0 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Florida | Florida 52, Ole Miss 28 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at Ole Miss | Ole Miss 34, Florida 24 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | at Florida | Florida 24, Ole Miss 17 |
| Sep 26, 2020 | at Ole Miss | Florida 51, Ole Miss 35 |
| Oct 3, 2015 | at Florida | Florida 38, Ole Miss 10 |
| Sep 27, 2008 | at Florida | Ole Miss 31, Florida 30 |
| Sep 22, 2007 | at Ole Miss | Florida 30, Ole Miss 24 |
| Oct 4, 2003 | at Florida | Ole Miss 20, Florida 17 |
| Oct 5, 2002 | at Ole Miss | Ole Miss 17, Florida 14 |
| Sep 30, 1995 | at Florida | Florida 28, Ole Miss 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.