Putting Up Numbers· college football

Notre Dame @ Purdue

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · No. 3 at unranked

Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10Notre Dame was favored by 27.5, and Notre Dame covered.

Notre Dame at Purdue: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNotre Dame1 gamePurdue1 game
Points+21.2−11.6
Points allowed−20.5+18.4
Total offense, yards+47−91
Total defense, yards−181+52
Touchdowns+2.7−1.4
Passer rating+53.7−13.3
Third downs−5.0%+5.1%
Sacks+4.4−1.2
Penalty yards−42.7−7.5
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.3
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Purdue

Notre Dame

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Purdue

  • Purdue was 3.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 97th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−11.5 against the line this game.

Notre Dame

  • Notre Dame had won 13 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • Notre Dame had beaten 18 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 19.
  • Notre Dame had won 13 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • Notre Dame had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Notre Dame had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Notre Dame was 1.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 71st of 135.fact · rankedits form →+11.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Notre Dame leads the series 60–26–2 since 1896. Notre Dame has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Purdue had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • At home, Purdue’s carries were 8.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at PurdueNotre Dame 49, Purdue 10
Sep 20, 2025at Notre DameNotre Dame 56, Purdue 30
Sep 14, 2024at PurdueNotre Dame 66, Purdue 7
Sep 18, 2021at Notre DameNotre Dame 27, Purdue 13
Sep 13, 2014neutralNotre Dame 30, Purdue 14
Oct 1, 2011at PurdueNotre Dame 38, Purdue 10
Sep 4, 2010at Notre DameNotre Dame 23, Purdue 12
Sep 26, 2009at PurdueNotre Dame 24, Purdue 21
Sep 27, 2008at Notre DameNotre Dame 38, Purdue 21
Sep 29, 2007at PurduePurdue 33, Notre Dame 19

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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