Putting Up Numbers· college football

New Mexico @ New Mexico State

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

New Mexico 42, New Mexico State 18New Mexico was favored by 11.5, and New Mexico covered.

New Mexico at New Mexico State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNew Mexico1 gameNew Mexico State1 game
Points+18.9−1.6
Points allowed−6.0+14.6
Total offense, yards+80+84
Total defense, yards+40+91
Touchdowns+2.6−1.1
Passer rating+16.2−9.0
Third downs+2.7%+5.5%
Sacks+1.4−0.4
Penalty yards+6.6−7.7
Turnovers forced+1.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2+1.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

New Mexico State

New Mexico

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

New Mexico State

  • New Mexico State was 6.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 32nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.

New Mexico

  • New Mexico had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • New Mexico was 18.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 4th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • New Mexico leads the series 66–24–2 since 1931. New Mexico has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • New Mexico State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • New Mexico had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • New Mexico had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • New Mexico had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, New Mexico’s penalty yards were 38.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6 over expected.
  • On the road, New Mexico’s points were 16.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at New Mexico StateNew Mexico 42, New Mexico State 18
Sep 27, 2025at New MexicoNew Mexico 38, New Mexico State 20
Sep 28, 2024at New Mexico StateNew Mexico 50, New Mexico State 40
Sep 16, 2023at New MexicoNew Mexico State 27, New Mexico 17
Oct 15, 2022at New Mexico StateNew Mexico State 21, New Mexico 9
Sep 11, 2021at New MexicoNew Mexico 34, New Mexico State 25
Sep 21, 2019at New MexicoNew Mexico 55, New Mexico State 52
Sep 15, 2018at New Mexico StateNew Mexico 42, New Mexico State 25
Sep 9, 2017at New MexicoNew Mexico State 30, New Mexico 28
Sep 10, 2016at New Mexico StateNew Mexico State 32, New Mexico 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.