Missouri @ 
Mississippi State
Mississippi State 31, Missouri 24Mississippi State was favored by 3.5, and Mississippi State covered.
| a game | Missouri1 game | Mississippi State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −3.1 | +7.6 |
| Points allowed | +4.5 | −2.4 |
| Total offense, yards | +53 | +140 |
| Total defense, yards | +105 | +30 |
| Touchdowns | +0.3 | +1.4 |
| Passer rating | −0.4 | +39.5 |
| Third downs | +4.3% | +2.6% |
| Sacks | +1.4 | +0.6 |
| Penalty yards | +32.0 | +25.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
Mississippi State
- Passing yardsKamario Taylor360 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKamario Taylor3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsFluff Bothwell122 rushing yards
Missouri
Analysis
Mississippi State
- Mississippi State was 18.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 135, and 9.8 worse at home than away over its last 25, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.
Missouri
- Missouri’s third-down conversion rate were 21.1% lower vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 77th of 77 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.4% over expected.
- Missouri had beaten 27 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Missouri was 6.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 110th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Missouri leads the series 4–3 since 1981.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, Mississippi State’s total yards were 305.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 117.6 over expected.
- In a conference game, Mississippi State’s penalty yards were 40.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.0 over expected.
- At night, Missouri’s total yards were 276.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.4 over expected.
- On the road, Missouri’s passing yards were 109.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 54.1 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 31, Missouri 24 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at Missouri | Missouri 49, Mississippi State 27 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | at Mississippi State | Missouri 39, Mississippi State 20 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 51, Missouri 32 |
| Nov 5, 2015 | at Missouri | Mississippi State 31, Missouri 13 |
| Sep 22, 1984 | at Missouri | Missouri 47, Mississippi State 30 |
| Oct 3, 1981 | at Mississippi State | Missouri 14, Mississippi State 3 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.