Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana @ Charlotte

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Louisiana 34, Charlotte 7Louisiana was favored by 9.5, and Louisiana covered.

Louisiana at Charlotte: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLouisiana1 gameCharlotte1 game
Points−1.5−21.0
Points allowed−17.4+9.5
Total offense, yards−149−248
Total defense, yards−233−70
Touchdowns0.0−3.4
Passer rating−22.5−55.2
Third downs−12.4%−31.3%
Sacks−1.1+1.2
Penalty yards−7.4+25.6
Turnovers forced+2.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+2.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Charlotte

Louisiana

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Charlotte

  • Charlotte had lost 12 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 13.
  • Charlotte had covered 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Charlotte was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 78th of 135, and 11.5 worse at home than away over its last 25, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.

Louisiana

  • Louisiana had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Louisiana was 7.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Against an unranked opponent, Charlotte’s rushing yards were 96.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 127.7 under expected.
  • Louisiana had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Louisiana’s points allowed were 17.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.2 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Louisiana’s carries were 9.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at CharlotteLouisiana 34, Charlotte 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.