Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kansas State @ Cincinnati

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Cincinnati 31, Kansas State 26Kansas State was favored by 6, and Cincinnati covered.

Kansas State at Cincinnati: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameKansas State1 gameCincinnati1 game
Points−1.8+4.9
Points allowed−1.0−0.4
Total offense, yards+25+72
Total defense, yards+1+64
Touchdowns0.0+0.8
Passer rating−24.4+60.5
Third downs+18.1%+6.5%
Sacks−1.2−2.0
Penalty yards−5.3+17.6
Turnovers forced−0.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cincinnati

Kansas State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Cincinnati

  • Cincinnati was 5.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 41st of 135.fact · rankedits form →+11.0 against the line this game.

Kansas State

  • Kansas State had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Kansas State had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Kansas State had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Kansas State had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Kansas State was 9.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 20th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−11.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Cincinnati had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Cincinnati had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at CincinnatiCincinnati 31, Kansas State 26
Nov 23, 2024at Kansas StateKansas State 41, Cincinnati 15
Sep 14, 1996at Kansas StateKansas State 35, Cincinnati 0
Sep 9, 1995at CincinnatiKansas State 23, Cincinnati 21
Oct 22, 1966at CincinnatiCincinnati 28, Kansas State 14
Nov 6, 1965at Kansas StateCincinnati 21, Kansas State 14
Sep 27, 1952at CincinnatiCincinnati 13, Kansas State 6
Sep 22, 1951at Kansas StateCincinnati 34, Kansas State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.