Iowa @ 
Michigan
Iowa 20, Michigan 19Michigan was favored by 4.5, and Iowa covered.
| a game | Iowa1 game | Michigan1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +1.7 | −1.0 |
| Points allowed | −4.8 | −4.5 |
| Total offense, yards | +1 | +102 |
| Total defense, yards | +98 | −80 |
| Touchdowns | +0.2 | −0.4 |
| Passer rating | +7.9 | +25.5 |
| Third downs | +8.3% | +1.3% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Penalty yards | −19.0 | +19.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Michigan
- Passing yardsBryce Underwood276 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsBryce Underwood2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsJordan Marshall59 rushing yards
Iowa
Analysis
Michigan
- Michigan had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Michigan was 4.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 102nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−5.5 against the line this game.
Iowa
- Iowa had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Iowa had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Iowa had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Iowa had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Iowa was 5.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+5.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Michigan leads the series 45–16–4 since 1900.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Michigan had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Michigan had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, Michigan’s penalty yards were 32.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.2 over expected.
- Iowa had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Michigan | Iowa 20, Michigan 19 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | neutral | Michigan 26, Iowa 0 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | at Iowa | Michigan 27, Iowa 14 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | neutral | Michigan 42, Iowa 3 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | at Michigan | Michigan 10, Iowa 3 |
| Nov 12, 2016 | at Iowa | Iowa 14, Michigan 13 |
| Nov 23, 2013 | at Iowa | Iowa 24, Michigan 21 |
| Nov 17, 2012 | at Michigan | Michigan 42, Iowa 17 |
| Nov 5, 2011 | at Iowa | Iowa 24, Michigan 16 |
| Oct 16, 2010 | at Michigan | Iowa 38, Michigan 28 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.