Houston @ 
Georgia Southern
Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28Houston was favored by 17.5, and Georgia Southern covered.
| a game | Houston1 game | Georgia Southern1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +22.6 | +2.3 |
| Points allowed | +3.3 | +14.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +111 | −49 |
| Total defense, yards | −48 | +28 |
| Touchdowns | +3.9 | +0.7 |
| Passer rating | +93.2 | +18.2 |
| Third downs | +55.4% | +12.9% |
| Sacks | +0.7 | −1.9 |
| Penalty yards | −16.1 | +8.6 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Georgia Southern
- Passing yardsMax Johnson284 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsMax Johnson3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsDavid Mbadinga37 rushing yards
Houston
Analysis
Georgia Southern
- Georgia Southern was 2.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 59th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.
Houston
- Houston had covered 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Houston had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Houston was 6.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 34th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Houston leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Georgia Southern had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Georgia Southern had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Houston had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Houston had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Houston had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, Houston’s third-down conversion rate were 15.5% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 48.8% over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Houston’s total yards were 103.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 25.4 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Georgia Southern | Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.