Boise State @ 
Western Michigan
Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7Boise State was favored by 8.5, and Boise State covered.
| a game | Boise State1 game | Western Michigan1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +12.5 | −22.8 |
| Points allowed | −21.2 | +3.1 |
| Total offense, yards | +37 | −180 |
| Total defense, yards | −134 | −25 |
| Touchdowns | +1.6 | −2.3 |
| Passer rating | +56.2 | −68.5 |
| Third downs | +36.1% | −19.9% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | −1.5 |
| Penalty yards | −0.6 | −20.2 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Western Michigan
- Passing yardsBroc Lowry110 passing yards
- Rushing yardsTrey Petty41 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsCole Cabana1 rushing touchdown
Boise State
Analysis
Western Michigan
- Western Michigan had beaten 8 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Western Michigan had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Western Michigan was 10.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−16.5 against the line this game.
Boise State
- Boise State had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Boise State was 4.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 50th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+16.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Boise State leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Western Michigan had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Western Michigan had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Western Michigan’s rushing yards were 58.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.8 under expected.
- Boise State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Boise State’s rushing yards were 155.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 under expected.
- On the road, Boise State’s rushing yards were 95.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Western Michigan | Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.