Navy @ 
UAB
UAB 24, Navy 20Navy was favored by 6.5, and UAB covered.
| a game | Navy1 game | UAB1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.2 | −9.1 |
| Points allowed | +0.4 | −4.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +29 | −118 |
| Total defense, yards | −53 | −23 |
| Touchdowns | −0.8 | −1.0 |
| Passer rating | −33.9 | −5.4 |
| Third downs | +7.6% | +4.1% |
| Sacks | +1.5 | +4.7 |
| Penalty yards | −41.7 | −14.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
UAB
- Passing yardsRyder Burton174 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsRyder Burton1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsBam McReynolds71 rushing yards
Navy
Analysis
UAB
- UAB was 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 65th of 132.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.
Navy
- Navy had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The series
- Navy leads the series 3–1 since 2023.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- UAB had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At home, UAB’s third-down conversion rate were 29.7% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.0% over expected.
- At night, UAB’s carries were 14.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 under expected.
- Navy had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Navy had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Navy had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | at UAB | UAB 24, Navy 20 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | at Navy | Navy 38, UAB 24 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | at UAB | Navy 41, UAB 18 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | at Navy | Navy 31, UAB 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.