Clemson @ 
California
Clemson 24, California 10Clemson was favored by 2.5, and Clemson covered.
| a game | Clemson1 game | California1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.7 | −18.0 |
| Points allowed | −14.9 | +3.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −25 | −168 |
| Total defense, yards | −148 | +46 |
| Touchdowns | −1.9 | −3.3 |
| Passer rating | −45.1 | −52.2 |
| Third downs | +7.3% | −13.4% |
| Sacks | 0.0 | −1.1 |
| Penalty yards | +0.9 | +5.2 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
California
- Passing yardsJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele119 passing yards
- Rushing yardsAdam Mohammed51 rushing yards
- Receiving yardsIan Strong44 receiving yards
Clemson
Analysis
California
- California was 9.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 117th of 132.fact · rankedits form →−11.5 against the line this game.
Clemson
- Clemson had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Clemson was 10.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 122nd of 132, and 11.3 better away than at home over its last 25, 3rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+11.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 1991.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- California had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, California’s pass attempts were 12.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 under expected.
- At night, California’s pass attempts were 12.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 under expected.
- In a conference game, California’s points allowed were 18.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 under expected.
- Clemson had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Clemson had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At night, Clemson’s third-down conversion rate were 22.9% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.0% over expected.
- On the road, Clemson’s points allowed were 20.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.4 under expected.
- In a conference game, Clemson’s penalty yards were 30.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | at California | Clemson 24, California 10 |
| Jan 1, 1992 | neutral | California 37, Clemson 13 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.