Putting Up Numbers· college football

UTEP @ Michigan

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Unranked at No. 19

Michigan 52, UTEP 17Michigan was favored by 34.5, and Michigan covered.

UTEP at Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUTEP1 gameMichigan1 game
Points−1.6+16.5
Points allowed+31.2+2.4
Total offense, yards−146+9
Total defense, yards+101−149
Touchdowns+0.2+2.0
Passer rating+24.8+40.2
Third downs−19.3%+25.9%
Sacks−0.8−0.2
Penalty yards−28.3−12.2
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Michigan

UTEP

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Michigan

  • Michigan had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.

The series

If you squint

  • Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Michigan had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Michigan had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Michigan’s carries were 15.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 over expected.
  • UTEP had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at MichiganMichigan 52, UTEP 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.