Putting Up Numbers· college football

USC @ Rutgers

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · No. 12 at unranked

USC 42, Rutgers 35USC was favored by 21, and Rutgers covered.

USC at Rutgers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUSC1 gameRutgers1 game
Points+13.2+7.3
Points allowed+8.0+16.4
Total offense, yards+57+101
Total defense, yards+91+87
Touchdowns+0.3+1.9
Passer rating+9.4−7.7
Third downs+8.0%+16.8%
Sacks−1.5−0.9
Penalty yards+17.2−13.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.1+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Rutgers

USC

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Rutgers

  • Rutgers had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

USC

  • USC had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • USC was 5.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 11th of 15.fact · rankedits form →−14.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • USC leads the series 2–0 since 2024. USC has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Rutgers’ rushing yards were 190.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 34.2 over expected.
  • USC had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • USC had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • USC had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at RutgersUSC 42, Rutgers 35
Oct 25, 2024at USCUSC 42, Rutgers 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.