Putting Up Numbers· college football

Purdue @ UCLA

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

UCLA 52, Purdue 38UCLA was favored by 13.5, and UCLA covered.

Purdue at UCLA: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePurdue1 gameUCLA1 game
Points+23.8+19.9
Points allowed+22.4+14.3
Total offense, yards+214+239
Total defense, yards+252+146
Touchdowns+3.3+3.3
Passer rating+94.0+18.9
Third downs+0.9%+36.8%
Sacks−0.5−0.2
Penalty yards−11.7+48.7
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.4−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UCLA

Purdue

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • UCLA leads the series 4–0–2 since 1950. UCLA has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, UCLA’s passing yards were 132.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 60.7 over expected.
  • At night, UCLA’s penalty yards were 44.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.9 over expected.
  • Purdue had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at UCLAUCLA 52, Purdue 38
Sep 20, 1980at PurdueUCLA 23, Purdue 14
Sep 15, 1979at UCLAUCLA 31, Purdue 21
Sep 24, 1960at PurdueUCLA 27, Purdue 27
Sep 18, 1959at UCLAUCLA 0, Purdue 0
Oct 28, 1950at PurdueUCLA 20, Purdue 6

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.