Putting Up Numbers· college football

Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Cincinnati 35, Miami (OH) 31Cincinnati was favored by 14.5, and Miami (OH) covered.

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMiami (OH)1 gameCincinnati1 game
Points+3.7+6.2
Points allowed+3.4+8.5
Total offense, yards−15+54
Total defense, yards+16+77
Touchdowns0.0+1.5
Passer rating+28.6+7.1
Third downs+8.7%+0.8%
Sacks+1.0+0.4
Penalty yards+1.9−16.5
Turnovers forced−0.3+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cincinnati

Miami (OH)

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Cincinnati leads the series 36–34–1 since 1954. Cincinnati has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Cincinnati had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Cincinnati had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at CincinnatiCincinnati 35, Miami (OH) 31
Sep 14, 2024at Miami (OH)Cincinnati 27, Miami (OH) 16
Sep 16, 2023at CincinnatiMiami (OH) 31, Cincinnati 24
Sep 17, 2022neutralCincinnati 38, Miami (OH) 17
Sep 4, 2021at CincinnatiCincinnati 49, Miami (OH) 14
Sep 14, 2019at CincinnatiCincinnati 35, Miami (OH) 13
Sep 8, 2018at Miami (OH)Cincinnati 21, Miami (OH) 0
Sep 16, 2017at Miami (OH)Cincinnati 21, Miami (OH) 17
Sep 24, 2016at CincinnatiCincinnati 27, Miami (OH) 20
Sep 19, 2015at Miami (OH)Cincinnati 37, Miami (OH) 33

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.