Putting Up Numbers· college football

LSU @ Ole Miss

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · No. 7 at No. 8

Ole Miss 32, LSU 24LSU was favored by 3, and Ole Miss covered.

LSU at Ole Miss: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLSU1 gameOle Miss1 game
Points+0.1+10.6
Points allowed−2.0−8.7
Total offense, yards−45+123
Total defense, yards+7−127
Touchdowns+0.4+1.8
Passer rating−18.7+16.4
Third downs+14.0%+24.0%
Sacks+0.90.0
Penalty yards−27.8+23.1
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Ole Miss

LSU

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Ole Miss

  • Ole Miss had won 13 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • Ole Miss had beaten 12 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

LSU

  • LSU had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • LSU leads the series 62–41–4 since 1902. Ole Miss has won the last 2. Ole Miss has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Ole Miss had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Ole Miss had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Ole Miss’ passing yards were 76.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 148.2 over expected.
  • LSU had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at Ole MissOle Miss 32, LSU 24
Sep 27, 2025at Ole MissOle Miss 24, LSU 19
Oct 12, 2024at LSULSU 29, Ole Miss 26
Sep 30, 2023at Ole MissOle Miss 55, LSU 49
Oct 22, 2022at LSULSU 45, Ole Miss 20
Oct 23, 2021at Ole MissOle Miss 31, LSU 17
Dec 19, 2020at LSULSU 53, Ole Miss 48
Nov 16, 2019at Ole MissLSU 58, Ole Miss 37
Sep 29, 2018at LSULSU 45, Ole Miss 16
Oct 21, 2017at Ole MissLSU 40, Ole Miss 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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