Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison @ San Diego State

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

James Madison 26, San Diego State 13San Diego State was favored by 3, and James Madison covered.

James Madison at San Diego State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJames Madison1 gameSan Diego State1 game
Points−5.6−12.5
Points allowed−14.9−5.6
Total offense, yards+4+15
Total defense, yards+61+19
Touchdowns−0.8−0.9
Passer rating+29.0−29.1
Third downs−12.7%+2.0%
Sacks+0.6+1.5
Penalty yards+8.9−3.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

San Diego State

James Madison

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

San Diego State

  • San Diego State had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.

James Madison

  • James Madison had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
  • James Madison had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • San Diego State had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • San Diego State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • James Madison had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • James Madison had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at San Diego StateJames Madison 26, San Diego State 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.