Florida State @
Alabama
Alabama 50, Florida State 36Alabama was favored by 18.5, and Florida State covered.
| a game | Florida State1 game | Alabama1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +15.5 | +20.3 |
| Points allowed | +16.8 | +11.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +145 | +149 |
| Total defense, yards | +182 | +101 |
| Touchdowns | +2.9 | +2.4 |
| Passer rating | +38.3 | +57.6 |
| Third downs | +19.0% | −8.1% |
| Sacks | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Penalty yards | −17.3 | −1.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.6 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Alabama
- Passing yardsKeelon Russell320 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKeelon Russell3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsTrae'shawn Brown86 rushing yards
Florida State
Analysis
Alabama
- Alabama had beaten 8 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
- Alabama had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The series
- Alabama leads the series 4–1–1 since 1965.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Alabama had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- Alabama had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Alabama had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Alabama’s penalty yards were 29.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 over expected.
- Florida State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Florida State had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, Florida State’s third-down conversion rate were 27.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.6% over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | at Alabama | Alabama 50, Florida State 36 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | at Florida State | Florida State 31, Alabama 17 |
| Sep 2, 2017 | neutral | Alabama 24, Florida State 7 |
| Oct 12, 1974 | at Alabama | Alabama 8, Florida State 7 |
| Sep 23, 1967 | at Alabama | Alabama 37, Florida State 37 |
| Oct 23, 1965 | at Alabama | Alabama 21, Florida State 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.