Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida @ Auburn

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Florida 44, Auburn 39Florida was favored by 2.5, and Florida covered.

Florida at Auburn: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlorida1 gameAuburn1 game
Points+20.0+8.8
Points allowed+15.0+16.4
Total offense, yards+121−26
Total defense, yards−1+119
Touchdowns+2.2+1.5
Passer rating+38.0+2.2
Third downs+7.8%+8.2%
Sacks+4.1−0.1
Penalty yards+81.3+10.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Auburn

Florida

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Auburn leads the series 44–40–2 since 1904. Florida has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Auburn had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At night, Auburn’s rushing yards were 122.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 53.7 under expected.
  • Florida had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at AuburnFlorida 44, Auburn 39
Oct 5, 2019at FloridaFlorida 24, Auburn 13
Oct 15, 2011at AuburnAuburn 17, Florida 6
Sep 29, 2007at FloridaAuburn 20, Florida 17
Oct 14, 2006at AuburnAuburn 27, Florida 17
Oct 19, 2002at FloridaFlorida 30, Auburn 23
Oct 13, 2001at AuburnAuburn 23, Florida 20
Dec 2, 2000neutralFlorida 28, Auburn 6
Oct 14, 2000at FloridaFlorida 38, Auburn 7
Oct 16, 1999at AuburnFlorida 32, Auburn 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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