Putting Up Numbers· college football

Miami (FL) @ Wake Forest

Fri, Sep 18, 2026 · No. 5 at unranked

Miami (FL) 33, Wake Forest 20Miami (FL) was favored by 20.5, and Wake Forest covered.

Miami (FL) at Wake Forest: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMiami (FL)1 gameWake Forest1 game
Points+14.8−4.0
Points allowed−16.6−4.3
Total offense, yards+53−37
Total defense, yards−112−90
Touchdowns+1.9+0.1
Passer rating+39.2−5.1
Third downs+0.4%−8.8%
Sacks+1.5−0.9
Penalty yards+20.4+66.4
Turnovers forced−0.3−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.1−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Wake Forest

Miami (FL)

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Wake Forest

  • Wake Forest had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.

Miami (FL)

  • Miami (FL) had covered 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Miami (FL) had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Miami (FL) had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Miami (FL) had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Miami (FL) leads the series 10–3 since 1928. Miami (FL) has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Wake Forest had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Wake Forest’s penalty yards were 54.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 61.4 over expected.
  • Miami (FL) had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Miami (FL) had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 18, 2026at Wake ForestMiami (FL) 33, Wake Forest 20
Nov 23, 2024at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 42, Wake Forest 14
Oct 26, 2013at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 24, Wake Forest 21
Oct 31, 2009at Wake ForestMiami (FL) 28, Wake Forest 27
Oct 25, 2008at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 16, Wake Forest 10
Nov 12, 2005at Wake ForestMiami (FL) 47, Wake Forest 17
Nov 20, 2004at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 52, Wake Forest 7
Sep 25, 1971at Wake ForestMiami (FL) 29, Wake Forest 10
Nov 21, 1969at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 49, Wake Forest 7
Oct 27, 1944at Miami (FL)Wake Forest 27, Miami (FL) 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.