Putting Up Numbers· college football

Wake Forest @ Purdue

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36Wake Forest was favored by 2.5, and Purdue covered.

Wake Forest at Purdue: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWake Forest1 gamePurdue1 game
Points+9.2+13.5
Points allowed+7.8+7.3
Total offense, yards+9+113
Total defense, yards+85+4
Touchdowns+0.5+1.4
Passer rating+1.3+11.2
Third downs+3.4%+10.7%
Sacks+1.1+0.2
Penalty yards−6.5−5.0
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.3
Turnovers lost−1.3−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Purdue

Wake Forest

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Wake Forest

  • Wake Forest had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Purdue had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Purdue had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Wake Forest had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Wake Forest had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Wake Forest had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at PurdueWake Forest 38, Purdue 36
Sep 13, 2003at Wake ForestPurdue 16, Wake Forest 10
Sep 21, 2002at PurdueWake Forest 24, Purdue 21
Oct 7, 1978at PurduePurdue 14, Wake Forest 7
Oct 1, 1977at PurduePurdue 26, Wake Forest 17
Oct 19, 1968at PurduePurdue 28, Wake Forest 27

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.