Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma @ Michigan

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · No. 11 at unranked

Michigan 17, Oklahoma 10Oklahoma was favored by 5, and Michigan covered.

Oklahoma at Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOklahoma1 gameMichigan1 game
Points−9.3−9.6
Points allowed−6.9−10.9
Total offense, yards+5−88
Total defense, yards−83−40
Touchdowns−0.9−0.9
Passer rating−23.5−29.5
Third downs−12.5%−4.9%
Sacks+0.2+0.6
Penalty yards+24.3+34.2
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Michigan

Oklahoma

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Michigan

  • Michigan had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Oklahoma

  • Oklahoma had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Oklahoma had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

If you squint

  • Michigan had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Michigan had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Oklahoma had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at MichiganMichigan 17, Oklahoma 10
Sep 6, 2025at OklahomaOklahoma 24, Michigan 13
Jan 1, 1976neutralOklahoma 14, Michigan 6

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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