Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio State @ Texas

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · No. 1 at No. 4

Texas 24, Ohio State 23Texas was favored by 2, and Ohio State covered.

Ohio State at Texas: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOhio State1 gameTexas1 game
Points+4.4+2.2
Points allowed−6.2−7.3
Total offense, yards+79+14
Total defense, yards−35−53
Touchdowns+0.3+0.7
Passer rating+8.2−16.1
Third downs+7.7%+17.5%
Sacks−0.5−0.2
Penalty yards−22.5−42.9
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Texas

Ohio State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Texas

  • Texas had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
  • Texas had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Texas had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Texas had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Texas had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Ohio State

  • Ohio State had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Ohio State had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Ohio State had beaten 10 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Ohio State had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Ohio State had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Ohio State had beaten 8 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Ohio State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at TexasTexas 24, Ohio State 23
Aug 30, 2025at Ohio StateOhio State 14, Texas 7
Jan 10, 2025neutralOhio State 28, Texas 14
Jan 5, 2009neutralTexas 24, Ohio State 21
Sep 9, 2006at TexasOhio State 24, Texas 7
Sep 10, 2005at Ohio StateTexas 25, Ohio State 22

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next