Putting Up Numbers· college football

Memphis @ Boise State

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Boise State 38, Memphis 20Boise State was favored by 9, and Boise State covered.

Memphis at Boise State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMemphis1 gameBoise State1 game
Points−3.9+11.1
Points allowed+5.4−11.0
Total offense, yards+174+197
Total defense, yards+162+78
Touchdowns−0.7+1.1
Passer rating+69.9+9.9
Third downs−24.1%+10.8%
Sacks−1.3−0.1
Penalty yards−0.9+32.9
Turnovers forced−1.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Boise State

Memphis

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Boise State had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Boise State had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Boise State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Memphis’ third-down conversion rate were 12.3% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.9% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at Boise StateBoise State 38, Memphis 20
Sep 30, 2023at MemphisMemphis 35, Boise State 32

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.