Putting Up Numbers· college football

Charlotte @ Ole Miss

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Unranked at No. 9

Ole Miss 41, Charlotte 9Ole Miss was favored by 44.5, and Charlotte covered.

Charlotte at Ole Miss: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCharlotte1 gameOle Miss1 game
Points−16.3+1.5
Points allowed+7.8−10.9
Total offense, yards−53−36
Total defense, yards−70
Touchdowns−2.9+0.6
Passer rating−13.6+13.9
Third downs−19.1%−18.0%
Sacks−0.1−1.3
Penalty yards−22.3−5.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Ole Miss

Charlotte

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Ole Miss

  • Ole Miss had won 12 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 13.
  • Ole Miss had beaten 11 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 12.

Charlotte

  • Charlotte had lost 10 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
  • Charlotte had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

If you squint

  • Ole Miss had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Ole Miss had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at Ole MissOle Miss 41, Charlotte 9

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.